@sellsoldstough wrote:

 

That was a lot of work which must have taken several envelope backs and I congratulate you on your achievement. Can't help thinking you may have just been (almost unconsciously) looking for a certain result before you started though!

 

As you say, the young only have themselves to blame but I sympathise with them on their blamimg the old, being a young person myself in many ways, though not in age! I don't think it's any good teaching politics and democracy in schools or colleges; I know when they tried to teach me my eyes just glazed over.


 I don't know why you say that.  I didn't do any workings backwards, and I didn't know how it would turn out. So how could I be 'looking for a certain result before I started'?    It was just a theorectical exercise because I was curious to know if was possible for those age groups to have made enough difference to change the result, using the only data and poll estimates I could find.  It's just sums, nothing complicated.  I used the low population estimate (the higher one in the ONS would have resulted in a greater margin in favour of remain) , and I reduced the population estimate to try to account for those who coudn't register.

I also used the 75% turnout that you suggested.  Perhaps that isn't reasonable?

 

I am also young at heart - a lot of people are you know Smiley Wink and still mentally in our 30s!  I like young people and I have frequently been 'adopted' as a second mum.  Where I live the age of friends at parties ranges from under 18 to 65+, something I really like about the area I live in.

 

I also sympathise with the younger generation too, especially the offspring of my friends who did vote remain.  I had less sympathy for some outside the pub on the evening after the results came out who were ranting about 'never being able to work in Europe', but then said they couldn't be bothered or were too hungover to walk to the nearby Polling Station. This lot (that frequent the pubs almost nightly), mostly don't work at all in spite of there being quite a lot of jobs here which the more concientious Polish youngsters are doing, but there are still vacancy signs everywhere.

 

Yes it's tough for the young in many ways, but perhaps not as bad as in many other EU member states where youth unemployment ( under 25 years) is much higher, notably Greece at a shocking 49%, Spain and Croatia over 40%, Italy almost 40%, .Cyprus and Portugal 30%.  Only 6 member states have youth unemployment levels below Great Britain.

http://www.statista.com/statistics/266228/youth-unemployment-rate-in-eu-countries/

 

The only group of all ages I have zero tolerance for are those who only voted out in hopes of getting rid of foreigners. And of course if it wasn't for the ultra right fascists no doubt the result would be to Remain.  My friend whose Dad came over from Pakistan in the 50s and who is now 50+ himself was threatened by 3 men (tourists, not locals) and told to foxtrot oscar home while he was walking on the seafront last Friday.  Disgusting behaviour, and he was, understandably, quite shaken.    

 

Since the decision is now made, I am fairly hopeful that Britain could do well outside the EU, after the initial bumpy period.  I suppose my biggest worry is that the UK will split now that Scotland and N.Ireland appear to want to break free.  

All that we are is what we have thought.